Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Lane Stadium · Blacksburg, VA11:00pm CT
UVA
Virginia Cavaliers · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-108)
+105
VT
Virginia Tech Hokies · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-112)
-125

Market vs model

Spread
VT -1.5
VT -1.5 (-112)
UVA +1.5 (-108)
Model
VT -4.9
Edge 3.4 pts VT
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
VT
VT -125 · UVA +105
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • VT rating 11.6, UVA rating 9.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to VT.
  • Predicted margin is VT by 4.9.
  • Edge is 3.4 points toward VT.
  • Edge 3.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 2.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is VT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UVA

FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs WVU 38-27 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs NORF 59-3 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Wvs NCSU 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs MIZ 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs DUKE 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6

VT

FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ MD 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ODU 44-21 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs VMI 73-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ UVA 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MIA 34-17 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.