Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Thu, Sep 3 · 5:00pm CT · SHI Stadium · Piscataway, NJ · BTNFinal
MASS
Massachusetts Minutemen · MAC · 1-0 · Away
FPI -11.4 · rank 116 · No CFBD row
+29.5 (-110)
+2200
RUTG
Rutgers Scarlet Knights · Big Ten · 0-1 · Home
FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row
-29.5 (-110)
-8000

Market vs model

Spread
RUTG -29.5
RUTG -29.5 (-110)
MASS +29.5 (-110)
Model
RUTG -8.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
RUTG
RUTG -8000 · MASS +2200
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • RUTG rating -5.6, MASS rating -11.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to RUTG.
  • Predicted margin is RUTG by 8.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is RUTG, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MASS

FPI -11.4 · rank 116 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

RUTG

FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.