Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Thu, Sep 3 · 8:00pm CT · Gies Memorial Stadium · Champaign, IL · BTNFinal
UAB
UAB Blazers · American · 0-1 · Away
FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row
+25.5 (-112)
+1500
ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 1-0 · Home
FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row
-25.5 (-108)
-3600
Market vs model
Spread
ILL -25.5
ILL -25.5 (-108)
UAB +25.5 (-112)
UAB +25.5 (-112)
Model
ILL -23.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ILL
ILL -3600 · UAB +1500
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ILL rating 6, UAB rating -14.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ILL.
- Predicted margin is ILL by 23.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 23.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ILL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UAB
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
ILL
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 23.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.