Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00am CT · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington, IN · FOXFinal
UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 0-1 · Away
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row
+39.5 (-110)
#5 IU
Indiana Hoosiers · Big Ten · 1-0 · Home
FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row
-39.5 (-110)

Market vs model

Spread
IU -39.5
IU -39.5 (-110)
UNT +39.5 (-110)
Model
IU -29.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IU
IU · UNT
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • IU rating 24.6, UNT rating -2.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to IU.
  • Predicted margin is IU by 29.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 29.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 27; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is IU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UNT

FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

IU

FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 29.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 27; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.