Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00am CT · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington, IN · FOXFinal
UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 0-1 · Away
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row
+39.5 (-110)
—
#5 IU
Indiana Hoosiers · Big Ten · 1-0 · Home
FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row
-39.5 (-110)
—
Market vs model
Spread
IU -39.5
IU -39.5 (-110) UNT +39.5 (-110)
Model
IU -29.5
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IU
IU — · UNT — Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
IU rating 24.6, UNT rating -2.3.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to IU.
Predicted margin is IU by 29.5.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model home 29.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 27; home field +2.5).
Moneyline ticket is IU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNT
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
IU
FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 29.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 27; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.