Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00pm CT · SECU Stadium · College Park, MD · BTNFinal
HAMP
Hampton Pirates · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+45.5 (-105)
—
MD
Maryland Terrapins · Big Ten · 1-0 · Home
FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row
-45.5 (-115)
—
Market vs model
Spread
MD -45.5
MD -45.5 (-115)
HAMP +45.5 (-105)
HAMP +45.5 (-105)
Model
MD -20
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MD
MD — · HAMP —
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MD rating 5.5, HAMP rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MD.
- Predicted margin is MD by 20.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 20. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is MD, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
HAMP
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MD
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 20. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.