Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 11:30am CT · Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH · BTNFinal
BALL
Ball State Cardinals · MAC · 0-1 · Away
FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row
+50.5 (-112)
—
#7 OSU
Ohio State Buckeyes · Big Ten · 1-0 · Home
FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row
-50.5 (-108)
—
Market vs model
Spread
OSU -50.5
OSU -50.5 (-108)
BALL +50.5 (-112)
BALL +50.5 (-112)
Model
OSU -52.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OSU
OSU — · BALL —
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- OSU rating 28.1, BALL rating -21.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to OSU.
- Predicted margin is OSU by 52.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 52.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 49.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is OSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
BALL
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
OSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 52.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 49.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.