Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30pm CT · Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR · CBSFinal
BOIS
Boise State Broncos · Pac-12 · 0-1 · Away
FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row
+24.5 (-105)
+1300
#20 ORE
Oregon Ducks · Big Ten · 1-0 · Home
FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row
-24.5 (-115)
-2800
Market vs model
Spread
ORE -24.5
ORE -24.5 (-115)
BOIS +24.5 (-105)
BOIS +24.5 (-105)
Model
ORE -13.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORE
ORE -2800 · BOIS +1300
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ORE rating 19.2, BOIS rating 8.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ORE.
- Predicted margin is ORE by 13.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 13.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ORE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
BOIS
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
ORE
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 13.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.