Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Sep 4 · 6:00pm CT · Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN · BTNFinal
INST
Indiana State Sycamores · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+35.5 (-118)
—
PUR
Purdue Boilermakers · Big Ten · 1-0 · Home
FPI -1.6 · rank 75 · No CFBD row
-35.5 (-102)
—
Market vs model
Spread
PUR -35.5
PUR -35.5 (-102)
INST +35.5 (-118)
INST +35.5 (-118)
Model
PUR -12.9
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
PUR
PUR — · INST —
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- PUR rating -1.6, INST rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to PUR.
- Predicted margin is PUR by 12.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 12.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.4; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is PUR, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
INST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
PUR
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 12.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.4; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.