Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sun, Sep 6 · 3:00pm CT · Husky Stadium · Seattle, WA · NBCFinal
WSU
Washington State Cougars · Pac-12 · 0-1 · Away
FPI -7 · rank 97 · No CFBD row
+23.5 (-120)
+1300
#17 WASH
Washington Huskies · Big Ten · 1-0 · Home
FPI 5.8 · rank 47 · No CFBD row
-23.5 (-118)
-2800

Market vs model

Spread
WASH -23.5
WASH -23.5 (-118)
WSU +23.5 (-120)
Model
WASH -15.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WASH
WASH -2800 · WSU +1300
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WASH rating 5.8, WSU rating -7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WASH.
  • Predicted margin is WASH by 15.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 15.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is WASH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WSU

FPI -7 · rank 97 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

WASH

FPI 5.8 · rank 47 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 15.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.