Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sun, Sep 6 · 6:30pm CT · Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WI · NBC · NeutralFinal
WIS
Wisconsin Badgers · Big Ten · 0-1 · Away
FPI 4.8 · rank 53 · No CFBD row
+21 (-105)
+1000
#3 ND
Notre Dame Fighting Irish · Independents · 1-0
FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row
-21 (-115)
-1800

Market vs model

Spread
ND -21
ND -21 (-115)
WIS +21 (-105)
Model
ND -22
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ND
ND -1800 · WIS +1000
Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ND rating 26.8, WIS rating 4.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is ND by 22.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 22. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22; neutral site (no home field)).
  • Moneyline ticket is ND, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WIS

FPI 4.8 · rank 53 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

ND

FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 22. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22; neutral site (no home field)).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.