Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00am CT · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington, IN · BTNFinal
HOW
Howard Bison · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+57.5 (-105)
—
#5 IU
Indiana Hoosiers · Big Ten · 2-0 · Home
FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row
-57.5 (-115)
—
Market vs model
Spread
IU -57.5
IU -57.5 (-115)
HOW +57.5 (-105)
HOW +57.5 (-105)
Model
IU -39.1
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IU
IU — · HOW —
Total 67.5 — no O/U pick
Total 67.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- IU rating 24.6, HOW rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to IU.
- Predicted margin is IU by 39.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 39.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 36.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is IU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
HOW
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
IU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 39.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 36.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.