Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30pm CT · Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI · BTNFinal
EMU
Eastern Michigan Eagles · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -19.3 · rank 132 · No CFBD row
+17.5 (-112)
+575
MSU
Michigan State Spartans · Big Ten · 2-0 · Home
FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row
-17.5 (-108)
-850
Market vs model
Spread
MSU -17.5
MSU -17.5 (-108)
EMU +17.5 (-112)
EMU +17.5 (-112)
Model
MSU -26.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MSU
MSU -850 · EMU +575
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MSU rating 4.2, EMU rating -19.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MSU.
- Predicted margin is MSU by 26.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 26.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 23.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
EMU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 26.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 23.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.