Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00am CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA · ESPN2Final
#13 PSU
Penn State Nittany Lions · Big Ten · 2-0 · Away
FPI 18.2 · rank 12 · No CFBD row
-24.5 (-102)
-3600
TEM
Temple Owls · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -4.6 · rank 85 · No CFBD row
+24.5 (-118)
+1500
Market vs model
Spread
PSU -24.5
TEM +24.5 (-118)
PSU -24.5 (-102)
PSU -24.5 (-102)
Model
PSU -20.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
PSU
TEM +1500 · PSU -3600
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TEM rating -4.6, PSU rating 18.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TEM.
- Predicted margin is PSU by 20.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 20.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -22.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is PSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
PSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TEM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 20.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -22.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.