Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:15pm CT · Rose Bowl · Pasadena, CA · BTNFinal
SDSU
San Diego State Aztecs · Pac-12 · 1-1 · Away
FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-112)
+400
UCLA
UCLA Bruins · Big Ten · 2-0 · Home
FPI 7.4 · rank 40 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-108)
-535
Market vs model
Spread
UCLA -13.5
UCLA -13.5 (-108)
SDSU +13.5 (-112)
SDSU +13.5 (-112)
Model
UCLA -13.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UCLA
UCLA -535 · SDSU +400
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UCLA rating 7.4, SDSU rating -3.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UCLA.
- Predicted margin is UCLA by 13.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 13.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UCLA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SDSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UCLA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 13.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.