Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30pm CT · Pratt & Whitney Stadium · East Hartford, CT · CBSSNFinal
MD
Maryland Terrapins · Big Ten · 2-0 · Away
FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row
-11.5 (-108)
-455
CONN
UConn Huskies · Independents · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.8 · rank 92 · No CFBD row
+11.5 (-112)
+350

Market vs model

Spread
MD -11.5
CONN +11.5 (-112)
MD -11.5 (-108)
Model
MD -8.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MD
CONN +350 · MD -455
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CONN rating -5.8, MD rating 5.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CONN.
  • Predicted margin is MD by 8.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 8.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MD, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MD

FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

CONN

FPI -5.8 · rank 92 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 8.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.