Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 10:00pm CT · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Los Angeles, CA · BTNFinal
UL
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns · Sun Belt · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.5 · rank 89 · No CFBD row
+30.5 (-105)
+2000
#12 USC
USC Trojans · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row
-30.5 (-115)
-6500

Market vs model

Spread
USC -30.5
USC -30.5 (-115)
UL +30.5 (-105)
Model
USC -23.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USC
USC -6500 · UL +2000
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • USC rating 15.5, UL rating -5.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to USC.
  • Predicted margin is USC by 23.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 23.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 21; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is USC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UL

FPI -5.5 · rank 89 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

USC

FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 23.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 21; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.