Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30pm CT · Husky Stadium · Seattle, WA · BTNFinal
USU
Utah State Aggies · Pac-12 · 0-2 · Away
FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row
+28.5 (-112)
+2000
#19 WASH
Washington Huskies · Big Ten · 2-0 · Home
FPI 5.8 · rank 47 · No CFBD row
-28.5 (-108)
-6500

Market vs model

Spread
WASH -28.5
WASH -28.5 (-108)
USU +28.5 (-112)
Model
WASH -17.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WASH
WASH -6500 · USU +2000
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WASH rating 5.8, USU rating -8.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WASH.
  • Predicted margin is WASH by 17.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 17.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is WASH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

USU

FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

WASH

FPI 5.8 · rank 47 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 17.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.