Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:15pm CT · Camp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI · BTNFinal
WIU
Western Illinois Leathernecks · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+43.5 (-108)
—
WIS
Wisconsin Badgers · Big Ten · 1-1 · Home
FPI 4.8 · rank 53 · No CFBD row
-43.5 (-112)
—
Market vs model
Spread
WIS -43.5
WIS -43.5 (-112)
WIU +43.5 (-108)
WIU +43.5 (-108)
Model
WIS -19.3
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WIS
WIS — · WIU —
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- WIS rating 4.8, WIU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to WIS.
- Predicted margin is WIS by 19.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 19.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is WIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
WIU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
WIS
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 19.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.