Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 1:00pm CT · Gies Memorial Stadium · Champaign, IL · PeacockFinal
SIU
Southern Illinois Salukis · 2-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+34.5 (+100)
—
ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row
-34.5 (-120)
—
Market vs model
Spread
ILL -34.5
ILL -34.5 (-120)
SIU +34.5 (+100)
SIU +34.5 (+100)
Model
ILL -20.5
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ILL
ILL — · SIU —
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ILL rating 6, SIU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ILL.
- Predicted margin is ILL by 20.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 20.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is ILL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SIU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
ILL
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 20.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.