Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30pm CT · Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI · BTNFinal
UTEP
UTEP Miners · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row
+34.5 (-115)
—
#18 MICH
Michigan Wolverines · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row
-34.5 (-105)
—
Market vs model
Spread
MICH -34.5
MICH -34.5 (-105)
UTEP +34.5 (-115)
UTEP +34.5 (-115)
Model
MICH -35.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MICH
MICH — · UTEP —
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MICH rating 14.9, UTEP rating -18.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MICH.
- Predicted margin is MICH by 35.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 35.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 33.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MICH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UTEP
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MICH
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 35.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 33.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.