Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00am CT · Huntington Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN · BTNFinal
AKR
Akron Zips · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -17.9 · rank 130 · No CFBD row
+22.5 (-108)
+1400
MINN
Minnesota Golden Gophers · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 0.9 · rank 62 · No CFBD row
-22.5 (-112)
-3200
Market vs model
Spread
MINN -22.5
MINN -22.5 (-112)
AKR +22.5 (-108)
AKR +22.5 (-108)
Model
MINN -21.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MINN
MINN -3200 · AKR +1400
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MINN rating 0.9, AKR rating -17.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MINN.
- Predicted margin is MINN by 21.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 21.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MINN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
AKR
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MINN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 21.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.