Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:15pm CT · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) · Lincoln, NE · BTNFinal
UND
North Dakota Fighting Hawks · 3-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+27.5 (-112)
+1200
NEB
Nebraska Cornhuskers · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 14.2 · rank 21 · No CFBD row
-27.5 (-108)
-2400
Market vs model
Spread
NEB -27.5
NEB -27.5 (-108)
UND +27.5 (-112)
UND +27.5 (-112)
Model
NEB -28.7
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NEB
NEB -2400 · UND +1200
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NEB rating 14.2, UND rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NEB.
- Predicted margin is NEB by 28.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 28.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 26.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is NEB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UND
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
NEB
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 28.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 26.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.