Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Sep 18 · 9:30pm CT · Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR · BTNFinal
PRST
Portland State Vikings · 0-4 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+58.5 (-110)
—
#20 ORE
Oregon Ducks · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row
-58.5 (-110)
—
Market vs model
Spread
ORE -58.5
ORE -58.5 (-110)
PRST +58.5 (-110)
PRST +58.5 (-110)
Model
ORE -33.7
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORE
ORE — · PRST —
Total 71.5 — no O/U pick
Total 71.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ORE rating 19.2, PRST rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ORE.
- Predicted margin is ORE by 33.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 33.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 31.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is ORE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
PRST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
ORE
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 33.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 31.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.