Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30pm CT · SHI Stadium · Piscataway, NJ · CBSFinal
#12 USC
USC Trojans · Big Ten · 4-0 · Away
FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row
-21 (-118)
-2100
RUTG
Rutgers Scarlet Knights · Big Ten · 0-3 · Home
FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row
+21 (-102)
+1100

Market vs model

Spread
USC -21
RUTG +21 (-102)
USC -21 (-118)
Model
USC -18.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USC
RUTG +1100 · USC -2100
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • RUTG rating -5.6, USC rating 15.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to RUTG.
  • Predicted margin is USC by 18.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 18.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -21; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is USC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

USC

FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

RUTG

FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 18.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -21; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.