Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 11:30am CT · Camp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI · PeacockFinal
EMU
Eastern Michigan Eagles · MAC · 1-3 · Away
FPI -19.3 · rank 132 · No CFBD row
+23.5 (-112)
+1200
WIS
Wisconsin Badgers · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.8 · rank 53 · No CFBD row
-23.5 (-108)
-2400
Market vs model
Spread
WIS -23.5
WIS -23.5 (-108)
EMU +23.5 (-112)
EMU +23.5 (-112)
Model
WIS -26.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WIS
WIS -2400 · EMU +1200
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- WIS rating 4.8, EMU rating -19.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to WIS.
- Predicted margin is WIS by 26.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 26.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is WIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
EMU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
WIS
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 26.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.