Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Sep 25 · 7:00pm CT · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington, IN · FOX7:00pm CT
NU
Northwestern Wildcats · Big Ten · 2-0 · Away
FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row
+21 (-110)
+1100
#5 IU
Indiana Hoosiers · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row
-21 (-110)
-2100

Market vs model

Spread
IU -21
IU -21 (-110)
NU +21 (-110)
Model
IU -17.8
Edge 3.2 pts NU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IU
IU -2100 · NU +1100
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • IU rating 24.6, NU rating 9.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to IU.
  • Predicted margin is IU by 17.8.
  • Edge is 3.2 points toward NU.
  • Edge 3.2 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 15.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is IU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

NU

FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs COLO 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SDST 34-18 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CMU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
  4. L@ ILL 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs MINN 38-35 · Sat, Nov 22

IU

FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WKU 38-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs HOW 55-0 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UNT 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs MIA 27-21 · Mon, Jan 19
  5. Wvs ORE 56-22 · Fri, Jan 9

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Frozen at +21 (-110). CLV —. A later board number does not move this.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.