Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 12:30pm CT · SECU Stadium · College Park, MD · BTN12:30pm CT
UCLA
UCLA Bruins · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 7.4 · rank 40 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-110)
-120
MD
Maryland Terrapins · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-110)
+100

Market vs model

Spread
UCLA -1.5
MD +1.5 (-110)
UCLA -1.5 (-110)
Model
MD -0.6
Edge 2.1 pts MD
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
MD +100 · UCLA -120
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MD rating 5.5, UCLA rating 7.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MD.
  • Predicted margin is MD by 0.6.
  • Edge is 2.1 points toward MD.
  • Edge 2.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UCLA

FPI 7.4 · rank 40 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs PUR 52-38 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SDSU 28-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ CAL 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ USC 29-10 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs WASH 48-14 · Sat, Nov 22

MD

FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs VT 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ CONN 38-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs HAMP 62-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MSU 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MICH 45-20 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.