Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI · CBS2:30pm CT
#17 IOWA
Iowa Hawkeyes · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row
+5.5 (-110)
+180
#18 MICH
Michigan Wolverines · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row
-5.5 (-110)
-218
Market vs model
Spread
MICH -5.5
MICH -5.5 (-110)
IOWA +5.5 (-110)
IOWA +5.5 (-110)
Model
MICH -5.3
Edge 0.2 pts IOWA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MICH
MICH -218 · IOWA +180
Total 38.5 — no O/U pick
Total 38.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MICH rating 14.9, IOWA rating 12.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MICH.
- Predicted margin is MICH by 5.3.
- Edge is 0.2 points toward IOWA.
- Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MICH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
IOWA
- Wvs UNI 55-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ISU 16-13 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs NIU 40-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs VAN 34-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- W@ NEB 40-16 · Fri, Nov 28
MICH
- Wvs UTEP 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs OU 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WMU 13-12 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs TEX 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- Lvs OSU 27-9 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.