Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 4:00pm CT · Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI · BTN4:00pm CT
NEB
Nebraska Cornhuskers · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 14.2 · rank 21 · No CFBD row
-5.5 (-112)
-218
MSU
Michigan State Spartans · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row
+5.5 (-108)
+180
Market vs model
Spread
NEB -5.5
MSU +5.5 (-108)
NEB -5.5 (-112)
NEB -5.5 (-112)
Model
NEB -7.4
Edge 1.9 pts NEB
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NEB
MSU +180 · NEB -218
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MSU rating 4.2, NEB rating 14.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MSU.
- Predicted margin is NEB by 7.4.
- Edge is 1.9 points toward NEB.
- Edge 1.9 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -9.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NEB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NEB
- Wvs UND 34-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs BGSU 56-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs OHIO 49-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs UTAH 44-22 · Wed, Dec 31
- Lvs IOWA 40-16 · Fri, Nov 28
MSU
- L@ ND 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs EMU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TOL 30-20 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs MD 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ IOWA 20-17 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.