Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 11:00am CT · Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH · FOX11:00am CT
ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row
+26.5 (-105)
+1600
#7 OSU
Ohio State Buckeyes · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row
-26.5 (-115)
-4000
Market vs model
Spread
OSU -26.5
OSU -26.5 (-115)
ILL +26.5 (-105)
ILL +26.5 (-105)
Model
OSU -24.7
Edge 1.8 pts ILL
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OSU
OSU -4000 · ILL +1600
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- OSU rating 28.1, ILL rating 6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to OSU.
- Predicted margin is OSU by 24.7.
- Edge is 1.8 points toward ILL.
- Edge 1.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 22.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is OSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ILL
- Wvs SIU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs DUKE 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UAB 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
- Wvs TENN 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
- Wvs NU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
OSU
- Wvs KENT 59-3 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ TEX 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BALL 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MIA 24-14 · Wed, Dec 31
- Lvs IU 13-10 · Sat, Dec 6
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.