Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 4:00pm CT · Beaver Stadium · University Park, PA · Peacock4:00pm CT
WIS
Wisconsin Badgers · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.8 · rank 53 · No CFBD row
+10 (-110)
+310
#13 PSU
Penn State Nittany Lions · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 18.2 · rank 12 · No CFBD row
-10 (-110)
-395
Market vs model
Spread
PSU -10
PSU -10 (-110)
WIS +10 (-110)
WIS +10 (-110)
Model
PSU -15.9
Edge 5.9 pts PSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
PSU
PSU -395 · WIS +310
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- PSU rating 18.2, WIS rating 4.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to PSU.
- Predicted margin is PSU by 15.9.
- Edge is 5.9 points toward PSU.
- Edge 5.9 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 13.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is PSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
WIS
- Wvs EMU 54-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs WIU 36-9 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs ND 41-13 · Sun, Sep 6
- L@ MINN 17-7 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs ILL 27-10 · Sat, Nov 22
PSU
- Wvs BUFF 55-13 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ TEM 27-9 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MRSH 45-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs CLEM 22-10 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ RUTG 40-36 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.