Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 1:00pm CT · Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN · Peacock1:00pm CT
#3 ND
Notre Dame Fighting Irish · Independents · 3-0 · Away
FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row
-27.5 (-118)
-4500
PUR
Purdue Boilermakers · Big Ten · 1-2 · Home
FPI -1.6 · rank 75 · No CFBD row
+27.5 (-102)
+1700

Market vs model

Spread
ND -27.5
PUR +27.5 (-102)
ND -27.5 (-118)
Model
ND -25.9
Edge 1.6 pts PUR
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ND
PUR +1700 · ND -4500
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • PUR rating -1.6, ND rating 26.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to PUR.
  • Predicted margin is ND by 25.9.
  • Edge is 1.6 points toward PUR.
  • Edge 1.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -28.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ND, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ND

FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MSU 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RICE 52-0 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WIS 41-13 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. W@ STAN 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs SYR 70-7 · Sat, Nov 22

PUR

FPI -1.6 · rank 75 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UCLA 52-38 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs WAKE 38-36 2OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs INST 44-19 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Lvs IU 56-3 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. L@ WASH 49-13 · Sat, Nov 15

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.