Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Sep 25 · 6:00pm CT · SHI Stadium · Piscataway, NJ · BTN6:00pm CT
HOW
Howard Bison · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+41.5 (+100)
RUTG
Rutgers Scarlet Knights · Big Ten · 0-3 · Home
FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row
-41.5 (-120)

Market vs model

Spread
RUTG -41.5
RUTG -41.5 (-120)
HOW +41.5 (+100)
Model
RUTG -8.9
Edge 32.6 pts HOW
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
RUTG
RUTG · HOW
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • RUTG rating -5.6, HOW rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to RUTG.
  • Predicted margin is RUTG by 8.9.
  • Edge is 32.6 points toward HOW.
  • Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 6.4; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is RUTG, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

HOW

No FPI row · No CFBD row

  1. L@ IU 55-0 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Lvs RICH 28-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs AAMU 31-24 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs NORF 44-15 · Sat, Nov 22
  5. L@ DSU 26-13 · Sat, Nov 15

RUTG

FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs USC 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ BC 28-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Lvs MASS 37-21 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs PSU 40-36 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ OSU 42-9 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 6.4; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.