Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:30pm CT · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Los Angeles, CA · NBC6:30pm CT
#20 ORE
Oregon Ducks · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row
-3 (-112)
-166
#12 USC
USC Trojans · Big Ten · 4-0 · Home
FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row
+3 (-108)
+140
Market vs model
Spread
ORE -3
USC +3 (-108)
ORE -3 (-112)
ORE -3 (-112)
Model
ORE -1.2
Edge 1.8 pts USC
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
USC +140 · ORE -166
Total 62.5 — no O/U pick
Total 62.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USC rating 15.5, ORE rating 19.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USC.
- Predicted margin is ORE by 1.2.
- Edge is 1.8 points toward USC.
- Edge 1.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -3.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ORE
- Wvs PRST 84-0 · Fri, Sep 18
- L@ OKST 39-31 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BOIS 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs IU 56-22 · Fri, Jan 9
- Wvs TTU 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1
USC
- W@ RUTG 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs UL 49-30 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FRES 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs SJSU 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs TCU 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.