Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 3:00pm CT · Kinnick Stadium · Iowa City, IA · FS1Final
UNI
Northern Iowa Panthers · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+37.5 (-115)
—
#17 IOWA
Iowa Hawkeyes · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row
-37.5 (-105)
—
Market vs model
Spread
IOWA -37.5
IOWA -37.5 (-105)
UNI +37.5 (-115)
UNI +37.5 (-115)
Model
IOWA -26.6
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IOWA
IOWA — · UNI —
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- IOWA rating 12.1, UNI rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to IOWA.
- Predicted margin is IOWA by 26.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 26.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is IOWA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNI
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
IOWA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 26.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.