Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 3 · 3:15pm CT · Gies Memorial Stadium · Champaign, IL · BTN3:15pm CT
PUR
Purdue Boilermakers · Big Ten · 1-2 · Away
FPI -1.6 · rank 75 · No CFBD row
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ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
ILL —
PUR —
PUR —
Model
ILL -10
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ILL
ILL — · PUR —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ILL rating 6, PUR rating -1.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ILL.
- Predicted margin is ILL by 10.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 10. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ILL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
PUR
- L@ UCLA 52-38 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs WAKE 38-36 2OT · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs INST 44-19 · Fri, Sep 4
- Lvs IU 56-3 · Fri, Nov 28
- L@ WASH 49-13 · Sat, Nov 15
ILL
- Wvs SIU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs DUKE 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UAB 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
- Wvs TENN 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
- Wvs NU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 10. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.