Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 2:30pm CT · Kinnick Stadium · Iowa City, IA · CBS2:30pm CT
#7 OSU
Ohio State Buckeyes · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row
-14 (-110)
-700
#17 IOWA
Iowa Hawkeyes · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row
+14 (-110)
+500

Market vs model

Spread
OSU -14
IOWA +14 (-110)
OSU -14 (-110)
Model
OSU -13.5
Edge 0.5 pts IOWA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OSU
IOWA +500 · OSU -700
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • IOWA rating 12.1, OSU rating 28.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to IOWA.
  • Predicted margin is OSU by 13.5.
  • Edge is 0.5 points toward IOWA.
  • Edge 0.5 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -16; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is OSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

OSU

FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs KENT 59-3 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ TEX 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BALL 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MIA 24-14 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs IU 13-10 · Sat, Dec 6

IOWA

FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNI 55-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ISU 16-13 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NIU 40-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs VAN 34-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. W@ NEB 40-16 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 0.5 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -16; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML