Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 3 · 11:00am CT · Huntington Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN · FOX11:00am CT
#18 MICH
Michigan Wolverines · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row
-8.5 (-110)
-340
MINN
Minnesota Golden Gophers · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 0.9 · rank 62 · No CFBD row
+8.5 (-110)
+270
Market vs model
Spread
MICH -8.5
MINN +8.5 (-110)
MICH -8.5 (-110)
MICH -8.5 (-110)
Model
MICH -11.5
Edge 3 pts MICH
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MICH
MINN +270 · MICH -340
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MINN rating 0.9, MICH rating 14.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MINN.
- Predicted margin is MICH by 11.5.
- Edge is 3 points toward MICH.
- Edge 3 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -14; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MICH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MICH
- Wvs UTEP 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs OU 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WMU 13-12 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs TEX 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- Lvs OSU 27-9 · Sat, Nov 29
MINN
- Wvs AKR 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MSST 38-13 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs EIU 59-7 · Thu, Sep 3
- Wvs UNM 20-17 OT · Fri, Dec 26
- Wvs WIS 17-7 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.