Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:30pm CT · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Los Angeles, CA · NBC6:30pm CT
WASH
Washington Huskies · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 5.8 · rank 47 · No CFBD row
+10 (-110)
+285
#12 USC
USC Trojans · Big Ten · 4-0 · Home
FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row
-10 (-110)
-360

Market vs model

Spread
USC -10
USC -10 (-110)
WASH +10 (-110)
Model
USC -12.1
Edge 2.1 pts USC
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USC
USC -360 · WASH +285
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • USC rating 15.5, WASH rating 5.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to USC.
  • Predicted margin is USC by 12.1.
  • Edge is 2.1 points toward USC.
  • Edge 2.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 9.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is USC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WASH

FPI 5.8 · rank 47 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs EWU 48-16 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs USU 16-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WSU 24-10 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. Wvs BOIS 38-10 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. Lvs ORE 26-14 · Sat, Nov 29

USC

FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ RUTG 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs UL 49-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs FRES 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Wvs SJSU 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Lvs TCU 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.