Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 3 · 11:30am CT · Camp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI · BTN11:30am CT
MSU
Michigan State Spartans · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row
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WIS
Wisconsin Badgers · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.8 · rank 53 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
WIS —
MSU —
MSU —
Model
WIS -3.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WIS
WIS — · MSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- WIS rating 4.8, MSU rating 4.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to WIS.
- Predicted margin is WIS by 3.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is WIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MSU
- L@ ND 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs EMU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TOL 30-20 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs MD 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ IOWA 20-17 · Sat, Nov 22
WIS
- Wvs EMU 54-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs WIU 36-9 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs ND 41-13 · Sun, Sep 6
- L@ MINN 17-7 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs ILL 27-10 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.