Game 401858480 · The Saturday Slate

← The board

Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI11:00pm CT

ILL

Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away

FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row

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MSU

Michigan State Spartans · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home

FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row

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Market vs model

Spread

—

MSU —
ILL —

Model

MSU -0.8

Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only

ML / total

Pass

MSU — · ILL —
Total — — no O/U pick

CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

MSU rating 4.2, ILL rating 6.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to MSU.
Predicted margin is MSU by 0.8.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model home 0.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.7; home field +2.5).
Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ILL

FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row

Wvs SIU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 19
Lvs DUKE 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs UAB 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
Wvs TENN 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
Wvs NU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29

MSU

FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row

L@ ND 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
Wvs EMU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs TOL 30-20 · Fri, Sep 4
Wvs MD 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
L@ IOWA 20-17 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 0.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.7; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.