Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Ryan Field · Evanston, IL11:00pm CT
BALL
Ball State Cardinals · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row
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NU
Northwestern Wildcats · Big Ten · 2-0 · Home
FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
NU —
BALL —
BALL —
Model
NU -33.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NU
NU — · BALL —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NU rating 9.3, BALL rating -21.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NU.
- Predicted margin is NU by 33.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 33.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 30.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
BALL
- L@ LIB 51-15 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs STBK 41-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ OSU 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ M-OH 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TOL 38-9 · Sat, Nov 22
NU
- Wvs COLO 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SDST 34-18 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs CMU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
- L@ ILL 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs MINN 38-35 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 33.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 30.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.