Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH11:00pm CT
MD
Maryland Terrapins · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row
#7 OSU
Ohio State Buckeyes · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
OSU
MD
Model
OSU -25.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OSU
OSU · MD
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OSU rating 28.1, MD rating 5.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OSU.
  • Predicted margin is OSU by 25.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 25.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is OSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MD

FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs VT 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ CONN 38-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs HAMP 62-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MSU 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MICH 45-20 · Sat, Nov 22

OSU

FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs KENT 59-3 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ TEX 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BALL 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MIA 24-14 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs IU 13-10 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 25.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.