Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington, IN11:00pm CT
#7 OSU
Ohio State Buckeyes · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-118)
-110
#5 IU
Indiana Hoosiers · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-102)
-110

Market vs model

Spread
IU -1.5
IU -1.5 (-102)
OSU +1.5 (-118)
Model
OSU -1
Edge 2.5 pts OSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
IU -110 · OSU -110
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • IU rating 24.6, OSU rating 28.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to IU.
  • Predicted margin is OSU by 1.
  • Edge is 2.5 points toward OSU.
  • Edge 2.5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -3.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

OSU

FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs KENT 59-3 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ TEX 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BALL 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MIA 24-14 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs IU 13-10 · Sat, Dec 6

IU

FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WKU 38-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs HOW 55-0 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UNT 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs MIA 27-21 · Mon, Jan 19
  5. Wvs ORE 56-22 · Fri, Jan 9

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.