Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI11:00pm CT
#13 PSU
Penn State Nittany Lions · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 18.2 · rank 12 · No CFBD row
+6.5 (-108)
+220
#18 MICH
Michigan Wolverines · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row
-6.5 (-112)
-270
Market vs model
Spread
MICH -6.5
MICH -6.5 (-112)
PSU +6.5 (-108)
PSU +6.5 (-108)
Model
PSU -0.8
Edge 7.3 pts PSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
MICH -270 · PSU +220
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MICH rating 14.9, PSU rating 18.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MICH.
- Predicted margin is PSU by 0.8.
- Edge is 7.3 points toward PSU.
- Edge 7.3 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -3.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
PSU
- Wvs BUFF 55-13 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ TEM 27-9 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MRSH 45-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs CLEM 22-10 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ RUTG 40-36 · Sat, Nov 29
MICH
- Wvs UTEP 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs OU 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WMU 13-12 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs TEX 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- Lvs OSU 27-9 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.