Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI11:00pm CT
NU
Northwestern Wildcats · Big Ten · 2-0 · Away
FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row
—
—
MSU
Michigan State Spartans · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
MSU —
NU —
NU —
Model
NU -2.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NU
MSU — · NU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MSU rating 4.2, NU rating 9.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MSU.
- Predicted margin is NU by 2.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 2.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NU
- Wvs COLO 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SDST 34-18 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs CMU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
- L@ ILL 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs MINN 38-35 · Sat, Nov 22
MSU
- L@ ND 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs EMU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TOL 30-20 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs MD 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ IOWA 20-17 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 2.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.