Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR11:00pm CT
NEB
Nebraska Cornhuskers · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 14.2 · rank 21 · No CFBD row
+21.5 (-112)
+1500
#20 ORE
Oregon Ducks · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row
-21.5 (-108)
-3600

Market vs model

Spread
ORE -21.5
ORE -21.5 (-108)
NEB +21.5 (-112)
Model
ORE -7.5
Edge 14 pts NEB
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORE
ORE -3600 · NEB +1500
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ORE rating 19.2, NEB rating 14.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ORE.
  • Predicted margin is ORE by 7.5.
  • Edge is 14 points toward NEB.
  • Edge 14 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ORE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

NEB

FPI 14.2 · rank 21 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UND 34-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs BGSU 56-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs OHIO 49-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs UTAH 44-22 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs IOWA 40-16 · Fri, Nov 28

ORE

FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs PRST 84-0 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. L@ OKST 39-31 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BOIS 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IU 56-22 · Fri, Jan 9
  5. Wvs TTU 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.