Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Gies Memorial Stadium · Champaign, IL11:00pm CT
#20 ORE
Oregon Ducks · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row
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ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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ILL —
ORE —
ORE —
Model
ORE -10.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORE
ILL — · ORE —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ILL rating 6, ORE rating 19.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ILL.
- Predicted margin is ORE by 10.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 10.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ORE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ORE
- Wvs PRST 84-0 · Fri, Sep 18
- L@ OKST 39-31 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BOIS 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs IU 56-22 · Fri, Jan 9
- Wvs TTU 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1
ILL
- Wvs SIU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs DUKE 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UAB 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
- Wvs TENN 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
- Wvs NU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 10.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.