Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI11:00pm CT
#5 IU
Indiana Hoosiers · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row
-6 (-110)
-258
#18 MICH
Michigan Wolverines · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row
+6 (-110)
+210
Market vs model
Spread
IU -6
MICH +6 (-110)
IU -6 (-110)
IU -6 (-110)
Model
IU -7.2
Edge 1.2 pts IU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IU
MICH +210 · IU -258
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MICH rating 14.9, IU rating 24.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MICH.
- Predicted margin is IU by 7.2.
- Edge is 1.2 points toward IU.
- Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is IU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
IU
- Wvs WKU 38-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs HOW 55-0 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UNT 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MIA 27-21 · Mon, Jan 19
- Wvs ORE 56-22 · Fri, Jan 9
MICH
- Wvs UTEP 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs OU 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WMU 13-12 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs TEX 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- Lvs OSU 27-9 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.