Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Huntington Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN11:00pm CT
#17 IOWA
Iowa Hawkeyes · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row
MINN
Minnesota Golden Gophers · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 0.9 · rank 62 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MINN
IOWA
Model
IOWA -8.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IOWA
MINN · IOWA
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MINN rating 0.9, IOWA rating 12.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MINN.
  • Predicted margin is IOWA by 8.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 8.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is IOWA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

IOWA

FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNI 55-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ISU 16-13 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NIU 40-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs VAN 34-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. W@ NEB 40-16 · Fri, Nov 28

MINN

FPI 0.9 · rank 62 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs AKR 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs MSST 38-13 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs EIU 59-7 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs UNM 20-17 OT · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Wvs WIS 17-7 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 8.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.